Vegas bookmakers launched the opening overbeneath choose totals for each FBS team ultimate week. The initial odds anticipated three big 12 groups winning greater video games than they did last season, 5 winning fewer games than closing 12 months and two profitable the exact equal volume.
I took a glance at every massive 12 group’s overunder and made some ironclad predictions that are bound to take you some funds. FWIW, the picks I believe most confident in are Kansas, Texas and West Virginia.
In alphabetical order
Baylor Bears overunder: 6
2017 checklist: 1-eleven
Yeah, i do know. Baylor become a dumpster fireplace closing year. We’re speaking a few dropping-to-a-Turner-Gill-coached-FCS-team-at-home kind of dumpster fire.
**Stephen A. Smith voice**
however, there is not any viable way Baylor is going to be that rotten once again this year. often as a result of there isn’t a lot of room to move down from 1-eleven. Matt Rhule appears to have discovered his QB of the long run in 2017 massive 12 Offensive Freshman of the year Charlie Brewer, and the Bears carry lower back very nearly every player of consequence from remaining season. here is a very young team with a favorable 2018 schedule.
Baylor begins off the season with Abilene Christian, at u.s.a., Duke and Kansas. these should still be four wins. From there, they just deserve to go 2-6 the rest of a way to hit 6 wins. it truly is a extremely purchasable aim. I suppose this team both finds a different pick in conference play or wins a bowl video game and hits the 7-engage total. Baylor might be the largest wildcard within the conference, however provide me the over for Matt Rhule and enterprise in yr two.
Iowa State Cyclones overunder: 6.5
2017 checklist: 8-5
This offseason went about in addition to Cyclone fans may have hoped for. After an awful lot hypothesis that he’d leave for greener pastures, head educate Matt Campbell signed a six-year deal to dwell in Ames and continue one of the most stunning rebuilds in recent memory. aspect observe: do we really call it a rebuild if there was nothing there within the first vicinity? I consider like rebuild implies that you simply’re attempting to get lower back to what your software was. Iowa State has been awful for somewhat some time, so let’s just call this a construct.
Campbell’s extension coupled with quarterback Kyle Kempt going full Jason White and getting a sixth year of eligibility capacity that Iowa State can be foul again this season. I suppose this crew is decent for seven wins, above all if they can pull off a lift in Iowa metropolis of their annual “El Assico” meeting with Iowa in week two.
Kansas Jayhawks overbeneath: three
2017 record: 1-11
Kansas State Wildcats overbeneath: 6
2017 list: eight-5
invoice Snyder hasn’t received fewer than six games in any season considering the fact that his return to the sidelines in 2009. I are expecting this Kansas State crew to be the actual same as glowing lots every different Kansas State team in that times span. They’ll be boring as hell to observe however find a means to stumble into seven or eight wins.
Oklahoma Sooners overunder: 10
2017 listing: 12-2
Oklahoma has posted double-digit capture totals in 15 of the ultimate 18 years. right here’s an inventory of the quarterbacks OU had all the way through the three years 2005, 2009, 2014 that they didn’t engage 10 games: Rhett Bomar, freshman Landry Jones and a Trevor Knight who’d been cursed with the aid of Katy Perry with a number of Cody Thomas begins sprinkled in there. Kyler Murray is exponentially improved than everybody on that listing it’s freshman Landry Jones, intellect you. I don’t suppose any one expects Kyler to are available in and be Baker Mayfield, however he doesn’t necessarily need to be.
The Sooners carry again just about every ability position participant on offense, in order that gained’t be an argument. The massive query mark for OU should be — cease me if you’ve heard this earlier than — defense. The secondary appears to be stronger from ultimate season if things get figured out at defense, however the pass rush may be what makes or breaks this group’s success in 2018. perhaps Mike Stoops will at last know that dashing three guys is just about the same as rushing no person, however I suppose that can be me being confident.
OU doesn’t have anybody principally awesome on the non-conference slate sorry, Lane Kiffin, so that capacity they just have to go 8-three when including a convention title online game and bowl game the leisure of how to hit 11 wins. Lock it up. It’s happening.
Oklahoma State Cowboys overbeneath eight
2017 record: 10-three
The Pokes are coming off three-straight 10-3 seasons. linked: Mason Rudolph was their quarterback for all three of those years. With Rudolph headed to the NFL, OSU’s quarterback condition is just a little murky. The contenders for the starting job are Hawaii grad switch Dru Brown, junior Taylor Cornelius who has tallied a whopping 24 flow attempts over the closing three years, redshirt freshman Keondre Wudtee a former three-megastar recruit from Bossier city, Louisiana and highly-touted real freshman Spencer Sanders.
No be counted who Mike Gundy decides to go along with at QB, it’s going to be a massive step lower back from Rudolph. besides the fact that children they’ll still have the ultra-proficient Justice Hill within the backfield, the new QB also received’t be blessed with the equal weapons Rudolph had at his disposal. The Pokes replaced defensive coordinator Glenn Spencer with former Duke DC Jim Knowles, so maybe OSU gained’t be somewhat as a lot of a trainwreck on defense this 12 months. in spite of this, I consider eight wins is concerning the ceiling for this crew. Sanders might be attractive legit ultimately, but it surely’ll catch grasp. agree with this a rebuilding yr in Stillwater.
TCU Horned Frogs overunder: 7.5
2017 checklist: eleven-three
Like OSU, TCU additionally finds itself in a rebuilding year following a slew of key departures. The Frogs return just two ! starters on offense and six on protection. Sophomore Shawn Robinson, the No. 6 ranked twin-danger QB in the type of 2017, seems to have the beginning job locked up. each time you have got a new full-time starting quarterback with out lots of returning experience around him, you’re hesitant to expect too tons.
With all of that being spoke of, I think TCU will be graceful. I don’t necessarily believe we’ll see them returned in Arlington for the huge 12 Championship game once again this season, nevertheless it wouldn’t be probably the most shocking thing that’s ever took place in this conference. I see them finishing with either 7-8 wins. I’ll go forward and acquire the over here. Don’t make me seem foolish, Gary. also, please unblock us on Twitter. we’ve so many issues we’d like to share with you.
Texas Longhorns overbeneath: 8.5
2017 record: 7-6
remember when Texas was lower back in 2016?
neatly, bet what, individuals… Texas is back in 2018. The Horns have an completed head instruct in Tom Herman whose lengthy checklist of accomplishment contains **exams notes** one American Athletic conference Championship and an excellent-lame pick over OU that will also be attributed to the Sooners pretty lots fidgeting with 10 guys on protection. They also have the subsequent Vince younger or Colt McCoy in sophomore Sam Ehlinger who has a few surprising wins beneath his belt equivalent to **tests notes again** The 2017 Academy activities + outside Texas Bowl. Go ahead and ebook your flights to the Bay enviornment, Texas fanatics. here’s your year!
In all seriousness, the undeniable fact that Texas has the 2nd-highest projected remove complete within the huge 12 is downright laughable, however also now not terribly astounding. I didn’t buy into the hype ultimate yr or the year before, and that i’m sticking with that in 2018. I believe greater assured about taking the below here than I do another projection besides Kansas. however simply look forward to 2019, that’s when Texas will actually be returned!
Texas Tech pink Raiders overbeneath: 6
2017 checklist: 6-7
The optimal element the come out of Texas’ 2017 season was agen sbobet their yarn give way at the end of the Texas Tech video game that saved Kliff Kingsbury’s job and ensured us all a further yr of mediocrity in Lubbock. With Nic Shimonek long past, the pink Raiders will turn to JUCO switch McLane Carter. Who, you could ask?
My counsel to Tech fanatics — settle for the indisputable fact that you’re a basketball school now.
West Virginia Mountaineers overbelow: 7
2017 list: 7-6
Dana Holgersen’s squad brings back greater ability than just about anyone within the conference now not named Oklahoma. WVU returns eight starters on offense and seven on protection. those 15 returning starters encompass the most reliable QB-WR tandem within the huge 12 last 12 months in Will Grier and David Sills. The Mountaineers have a pair of challenging non-conference games early with Tennessee coming to town in week one and a visit to Raleigh to take on NC State in week three. WVU should be liked in both games, but neither is a lock by any stretch. if they can go 3-0 in non-convention play, I consider they blow via the seven-retract mark without difficulty. notwithstanding they initiate 2-1, I nonetheless think they’re okay.
One component that’s a little alarming right here is the lack of depth alongside the protecting front. That’s likely keep them from having a true breakout season, but it gained’t hold them from surpassing seven wins.
West Virginia is my early decide on to rectangular off with Oklahoma within the 2018 large 12 Championship game, so I feel very at ease taking the over right here.
OVER: Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas State, Oklahoma, TCU, West Virginia
under: Kansas, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas Tech